Oscar Predictions 2014 – Acting

The 85th Academy Awards® will air live on Oscar® Sunday, February 24, 2013.Ok, it’s still a bit early for proper predictions, especially because there are delays and films get to get pushed to 2014. Like Monuments Men just yesterday. But then again, there’s also locks already in acting categories, so let’s take a look. The most updated info of my predictions you’ll always find at Gold Derby.

Ladies first. There seems to be two locks for the best actress in the leading role category: Cate Blanchett from Woody Allen’s Blue Jasmine and Sandra Bullock from Gravity. I’ve seen the latter and I thought she was a tiny bit overacting and got great support from George Clooney but yeah, she is definitely a lock anyway. To round up my top five at the moment I have Emma Thompson from Saving Mr. Banks, the film and the leading lady herself are getting really good reviews, Amy Adams from American Hustle, because she’s always good and come on (!) it’s her time already and last and hopefully the least, Meryl Streep from August: Osage County. I hope Judi Dench from Philomena would get the nom instead of Streep but Streep will probably get one even though the film itself hasn’t got that good reviews plus I think they’re editing it again, which, to me, is not that good thing… The other possible contenders are Adele Excharcopoulus from Blue is the Warmest Colour, Berenice Bejo from The Past and Brie Larson from Short Term 12 but all of these three need very much support from critics circles and guilds and so on. Especially Excharcopoulos is in hype at the moment but do you really see the Academy giving a nom to a film that has (or so I’ve heard) 10 minutes long porn scene?

matthewThe gentlemen in the leading role. Matthew McConaughey. Hopefully. From Dallas Buyers Club. But there is a good competition this year. Tom Hanks from Captain Phillips has come back. Robert Redford from All Is Lost. Bruce Dern from Nebraska (I loved that film and he was heartbreaking) and Chiwetel Ejiofor from 12 Years a Slave. That’s my top five now. Other possible contender could be Leonardo DiCaprio if The Wolf of Wall Street will have its premier this year. At the moment it’s set on Christmas day if I remember correctly. Spoilers could be Forest Whitaker from The Butler and Michael B. Jordan from Fruitvale Station but again, those need a strong push from critics and all around hype at the net but I don’t see it happen. And then there’s Christian Bale from American Hustle. No idea how that will turn out. The category is strong but so is Bale, especially when directed by David O. Russell (the last time when that happened, he won).

For me there’s only one winner in supporting actor category and that’s Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave). I haven’t seen the film yet but I don’t care, I want him to win. The other lock in the category is Jared Leto from Dallas Buyers Club. He has a strong support and might end up winning too. Tom Hanks will probably get the nominations from Saving Mr. Banks. He plays Walt Disney and does it smoothly, or so I’ve read. I liked Daniel Brühl in Rush and I think he deserves to be nominated and rounding up my top-5 is Bradley Cooper from American Hustle. Russell just have tendency to get nominations to his actors and actresses. There are still other possibilities too. Others are rooting for John Goodman from Inside Llewyn Davis. I haven’t read anything of that role, so I don’t get why his name is that up on the consideration. Somalian Barkhad Abdi has some hype from Captain Phillips, that I get and he just might end up with the nom. Josh Brolin from Labor Day, maybe but I don’t see it happen. Jeremy Renner from American Hustle, maybe, fingers crossed, I love him (but then again, there’s already Bradley Cooper from the same film). And then there’s a chance of James Gandolfini to get posthumous nomination from Enough Said. But I don’t believe the film would have gotten that much attention without him passing away. Sorry to say that but it’s true.

jenniferThe ladies in supporting top-5 to me are: Lupita Nyongo from 12 Years a Slave, Jennifer Lawrence from American Hustle, Cameron Diaz from The Counsellor, June Squibb from Nebraska and Margo Martindale from August: Osage County. And now you’re asking me where’s Oprah? Ok, she will probably (hopefully not) get nominated for The Butler but I just don’t see why?! She’s apparently not very good in it, the film itself is not very good or at least that good it deserves any extra attention. So why? Because she’s Oprah? I sure hope not. The ladies in supporting is the weakest one and the most open race at this time of year. I’m reaching with Cameron Diaz, I know, I probably have to take her off after two days when The Counsellor will premier and the film sucks. But there’s still hope and I’m sticking to it for now. But the film has to be bad; why else there wouldn’t be any reviews online if it’s not?! Squibb to me was a bit too much but she’s kind of cute and if Dern gets the nom in leading, she might end up here. Lawrence looks solid in the trailer and again, it’s Russell directing (the last time she won). August, to me, seems a bit dead, but let’s see… Julia Roberts from the same film could end up nominated as well. And Octavia Spencer from Fruitvale Station. But if there’s no other noms for the film, will she get one? Hard to tell. To me Melissa Leo in Prisoners was worthy of the nom but I don’t see that happen. At least if Hugh Jackman is not getting one in the leading. Well, the race is still open, especially in this category, so I’ll keep you updated. Meanwhile, remember to check my Twitter, there’s always the latest.

Top-fives in the acting categories:

THE BEST ACTRESS IN THE LEADING ROLE

1. Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
2. Sandra Bullock – Gravity
3. Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks
4. Amy Adams – American Hustle
5. Meryl Streep – August: Osage County

THE BEST ACTOR IN THE LEADING ROLE

1. Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
2. Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
3. Robert Redford – All Is Lost
4. Bruce Dern – Nebraska
5. Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave

THE BEST ACTRESS IN THE SUPPORTING ROLE

1. Lupita Nyongo – 12 Years a Slave
2. Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
3. Cameron Diaz – The Counselor
4. June Squibb – Nebraska
5. Margo Martindale – August: Osage County

THE BEST ACTOR IN THE SUPPORTING ROLE

1. Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
2. Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
3. Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
4. Daniel Brühl – Rush
5. Bradley Cooper – American Hustle

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