1. Alfonso Cuarón – Gravity
2. Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
3. Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
4. David O. Russell – American Hustle
5. Spike Jonze – Her
Alexander Payne – Nebraska
Coens – Inside Llewyn Davis
Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street
To be honest, in this category the last two places could be invaded by any of those mentioned. At the moment I believe that Russell will get the nomination because the Academy seems to love him and because this time he outdid himself when selecting the cast; who wouldn’t want to see THAT cast on silver screen? And I’m really hoping that Jonze will get some love from the Academy but because I haven’t seen Her, Inside Llewyn Davis or The Wolf of Wall Street, it’s very hard to say how much they are the director’s films. So I might change my opinion in this category after seeing all of the films. To me Nebraska is still the best film of this year’s contenders and Alexander Payne is my favourite director at the moment (here’s my list if you’re interested), so I do hope he’ll get noticed but let’s see. Greengrass has gotten a lot of nominations from critics and also the Golden Globe nomination, so I guess he’s in. To me Captain Phillips was nothing spectacular. But in the end, the race is between Cuarón and McQueen. At the moment it looks like Cuarón has the slight edge because Gravity is extraordinary and 12 Years a Slave will probably win the Best Picture and it would be suitable for Cuarón to get the Best Director trophy. I’m keeping my fingers crossed for rare tie. It would be so cool!
Best Original Screenplay
2. Inside Llewyn Davis
3. American Hustle
4. Blue Jasmine
It looks like this category is a perfect opportunity to award Spike Jonze for Her. I can’t really see that award to go anywhere else but then again, I been proved wrong oh-so-many times by the Academy. And the Coens do have the love. And so does David O. Russell like I said already. And American Hustle has the edge when it comes to box office, it already opened with big numbers in limited release. Woody Allen is Woody Allen and the script of Blue Jasmine is full of great monologues. And some dialogues too. And like I have said many times already, I loved Nebraska and the script is a big part of it. But the last place could be taken by Gravity too. Or if reached, Enough Said too. To me Nicole Holofcener has done nothing interesting, Please Give was ok but Friends with Money was one of the worst films I watched. So, I don’t believe she’ll get the nod.
Best Adapted Screenplay
1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Before Midnight
3. The Wolf of Wall Street
4. Captain Phillips
August: Osage County
Short Term 12
The Spectacular Now
In this category I don’t really believe that the last two have changes to get nominated but I still want to keep them there just in case I’ll get pleasantly surprised. I haven’t seen either of them but what I’ve read they seem to be couple of great indies. The last nod will go to Philomena or August: Osage County but because the latter hasn’t gotten that good reviews I have doubts towards it. The first four ones are locks to me. And the actual awards, I think, will be given to Before Midnight or 12 Years a Slave, the latter one having huge advantage. And like I already wrote in to last predictions update (the Best Picture), to me Before Midnight was too heavy and I’ve read that much of the dialogue was improvised in the film, so I also think that has to be taken account.
So, that’s that for this post. According to me, two more nods to four best picture contenders. Do you think I’m correct? In next post, I’ll be looking to acting categories. Meanwhile, here you can check the shortlist for the Best Foreign Language Films.
Photo credits to Oscars.go.com, Rope of Silicon, Hesperuspress